Nebraska Ag Trade Rises in 2018…
USDA data released in late October shows the value of Nebraska agricultural commodity exports in 2018 grew $450 million, or 7 percent, compared to 2017.
The growth occurred thanks to significant boosts in sales of Nebraska beef and corn and came despite major declines in Nebraska soybean exports and reductions in pork and wheat exports. In all, Nebraska was the sixth-largest agricultural exporting state in 2018. These and other findings come from Nebraska Farm Bureau’s “Nebraska Agriculture and International Trade” report which uses the most current USDA trade data to identify the value of Nebraska agriculture exports in 2018 on a per-commodity, per-county, and per-farm basis.
Figure 1. Nebraska Commodity Exports, 2000-2018 (Million $)
Source: USDA Economic Research Service
Fortunately for Nebraska producers, the U.S. maintained positive relations with two leading beef markets in Japan and South Korea. Expanded purchases by Japan and South Korea boosted the value of Nebraska’s beef exports to more than $1.3 billion in 2018, a record high. Friendly trade relations with Japan also led to increased purchases of Nebraska corn, as Japanese imports of U.S. corn grew by 34 percent in 2018. Nebraska also benefited from Mexico opting not to impose tariffs on U.S. corn in retaliation for U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum. U.S. corn exports to Mexico increased by 16 percent over the previous year. Nebraska’s total corn exports increased 42 percent in 2018, reaching the second-highest level on record. Nebraska soybean exports slumped 21 percent to $1.2 billion, the lowest level since 2008. The U.S. trade dispute with China and African Swine Fever in that country hurt soybean exports.
The report estimates a dollar value for agricultural trade for every Nebraska county. Custer County led the way in 2018 receiving more than $175 million of value from agricultural trade. Other top counties included Platte, Cuming, and Holt Counties. Year-to-year changes in agricultural trade can also be seen in counties’ top export commodities. In 2017, soybeans were the top export commodity in 42 Nebraska counties. In 2018, that number dropped to 30 counties. Corn took up the slack, rising from being the top export commodity in 12 counties in 2017 to 31 counties in 2018. (Figure 2). The changes in counties’ top export commodities show how sensitive local Nebraska economies are to the vicissitudes of international markets and decisions made by policy makers. The “Nebraska Agriculture and International Trade” report is available on the Nebraska Farm Bureau website at here.
Figure 2. Estimated Top Export Commodity by County, 2018
Source: NEFB estimates based on USDA data